Series 3
Field Manual

Exam Sat 1 Aug 2026 120 scored + 5 unscored · 2.5 hours Pass 70% on each part Calculator and dry-erase board provided
Green = up side
Bullish · long · buy · above the market · rates falling
Red = down side
Bearish · short · sell · below the market · rates rising
Amber = trap
Reads backwards from securities logic, or has a hidden exception
Ink = mechanical
Fixed numbers, definitions, rules with no direction to them

Chapter progress

0 of 11 chapters marked understood
MAP

Where the 120 points live

study in this order
Rules & regulations (Part II — separately scored)35
Futures theory, basic functions, terminology16
Margin, option premiums, price limits, settlements15
Orders, accounts, price analysis, electronic trading11
Hedging financial & monetary futures10
Basic hedging, basis calculations, commodity hedging9
Speculating in commodity futures8
Speculating in financial & monetary futures8
Options — hedging, speculating, spreading5
Spread trading and applications3
Read the map before you read anything else Regulations is 35 questions and its own pass/fail gate — you cannot carry it with a strong market-knowledge score. Hedging is 19 questions once you add both rows, making it the largest cluster in Part I after basic terminology. Spreads are 3 questions; do not spend a night on them.
CH 1

Commodity futures

terminology · 16 q

Cash forward vs futures

Cash forwardFutures
TermsNegotiated, any quantity or gradeStandardized by the exchange
Transferable?No — needs the other party's permissionYes — offset freely, no permission needed
WherePrivatelyOn an exchange only — no OTC futures

The clearing house is what makes futures transferable. It stands between every buyer and seller, so you never need to find your original counterparty to get out.

Basis grade, corners, squeezes

  • The basis grade is the standard deliverable grade. Better grades deliver at a premium, worse grades at a discount.
  • Allowing substitute grades exists to expand deliverable supply and make a corner harder.
  • A corner (or squeeze) is one party accumulating nearly all available cash supply so shorts must pay their price to deliver.
  • Exception: soybean oil and meal have no premium/discount grades — basis grade only. Beans, wheat and corn do.

Exchange committees

CommitteeJob
ArbitrationSettles disputes among members, member firms and the public — all parties must voluntarily agree to submit
Business ConductInvestigates complaints, prevents price manipulation, supervises member conduct
FloorSets floor trading rules and settles floor disputes

Who trades what

Floor brokerExecutes for others. Exempt from NFA membership and from AP registration. Liable for his own execution errors.
Floor trader / local / scalperTrades his own account. Adds bids and offers, but has no obligation to maintain an orderly market — unlike a stock specialist.
Day vs position traderDay trader closes within the session; position trader carries overnight.

Exchange groups and fungibility

  • CME Group: CBOT, CME, Globex, Kansas City, Minneapolis, NYMEX, COMEX.
  • ICE: ICE Futures U.S., Europe, Singapore, Endex.
  • Contracts are interchangeable within a group because they clear at the same clearing house — CME clears CME, ICE Clear clears ICE.
  • Practical example: buy five E-mini S&P and sell one full-size S&P on Globex to flatten.
What makes a market work Many participants → tight bid-ask, small tick-to-tick moves = efficient / liquid. Few participants = thin, wide spreads, violent moves. A market also needs a commodity that can be graded and standardized, and minimal government price control.

Clearing house mechanics

  • Becomes buyer to every seller and seller to every buyer — this is what kills counter-party risk.
  • Most clearing houses collect margin on the member's net position — 30 long and 20 short means margin on 10 net long.
  • Positions are settled daily against the exchange settlement price (a price within the closing range, not necessarily the last trade).
  • Money owed is due before the opening of the next business day. In a volatile session the clearing house may call intraday, and that call must be met within one hour.
  • Additional margin from a price move is called variation margin.

Delivery — the seller runs the show, with one exception

  • The seller chooses the day, the approved location, and the grade. The buyer has no say.
  • Exception: on CME currency contracts the buyer picks the bank in the country of issuance.
  • Delivery only from a warehouse that is regular for delivery. Inspection is by exchange-licensed inspectors.
  • The CBOT assigns the notice to the clearing member holding the oldest long. Other exchanges use largest net or gross long.
  • Some exchanges require the notice to be stopped (accepted). Elsewhere you may sell an equivalent contract and retender the notice to a new buyer.
  • First notice day is the first day of the delivery month on which delivery may be made. Speculators should be out by then, or use a switch order to roll to a later month.
  • Papers differ by commodity: grain = warehouse receipt, gold = depository receipt, plywood = shipping certificate.
  • Fewer than 2% of contracts ever go to delivery — but the possibility is what forces cash and futures to converge.
CH 2

Regulations

part ii · 35 q · own pass gate

CFTC vs NFA

What it isWhat it does
CFTCIndependent federal agency, created 1975Prevents manipulation, sets customer-protection and minimum financial standards, approves new contracts, regulates exchanges and floor members, hears reparations. Exclusive disciplinary jurisdiction over floor brokers and exchanges.
NFASelf-regulatory organizationAudits members, enforces ethics and customer-protection rules, arbitrates disputes, screens registrations, sets proficiency testing (this exam). Operates under CFTC review.

Membership

  • Mandatory for FCMs, IBs, CPOs, and CTAs who direct or place trades.
  • APs become associate members.
  • Exempt: floor brokers and floor traders (still exchange-regulated), and CTAs who neither direct nor place trades.
  • Members may not do futures business with a suspended member, or with a non-member who is required to be one. Exempt from registration = exempt from membership, and membership is then optional.

The five registration categories

WhoDoesMoney?Capital / exemption
FCMSolicits or accepts ordersYes — must segregate customer fundsAdjusted net capital ≥ $1,000,000; annual audits of its own branches; non-clearing FCMs use an omnibus account carried on a non-disclosed basis
IBSolicits or accepts orders, introduces to an FCMNo — may only handle checks payable to the FCM, deposited same day into a "Customer Segregated Funds" account≥ $45,000, or a guarantee agreement with exactly one FCM (no expiration; the FCM then answers for the IB in arbitration, reparations and NFA discipline, and audits it annually)
CTAAdvises others for compensation, or issues analyses regularlyNoExempt if fewer than 15 persons advised in 12 months and does not hold out as a CTA. Also exempt: banks, accountants, publishers, journalists
CPOPools customer funds and trades them as one accountYes — funds must be in the pool's nameExempt if ≤ $400,000 in contributions and15 participants; or if uncompensated, unadvertised, and running one pool
APSolicits orders or supervises those who doMust be a natural person. May register with more than one firm; each sponsor is jointly and severally responsible
Only two categories may hold your money FCMs and CPOs (plus leverage transaction merchants). IBs and CTAs never take custody — that single fact answers a surprising number of questions.

Opening the account

  • Collect: name, address, occupation, annual income, net worth, prior trading experience, age. The customer is the sole source — no duty to verify independently.
  • NFA Rule 2-30: ask individuals to verify annually; update on response.
  • A principal or supervisor must approve the account before the AP can trade it.
  • If the customer refuses to give more than name, address, age and occupation, you may still open it — make a written record of the refusal.
  • Customer dies → cancel all open orders and liquidate open positions; then wait for the executor.

Discretion

  • Needs a written power of attorney; revocation must also be written; discretion dies with the customer.
  • Not discretion if the customer specifies commodity, month, quantity, and buy or sell — only price and time were left to you.
  • A principal must review each discretionary trade by the following day.
  • Two consecutive years as a registered AP — waived if the person is a CTA.
  • Third-party discretion is barred unless the FCM holds the written grant plus a signed disclosure-document receipt, or the parties are family.

Disclosure documents — the four clocks

DocumentRule to remember
Risk disclosure statementSigned and dated at or before account opening, and only the first time the customer opens an account with that member. Text is verbatim from CFTC Rule 1.55. It must appear on page 1 of every CTA and CPO disclosure document. An FCM's version may be used by an IB, but the IB keeps the acknowledgment.
CPO disclosure documentFiled with the NFA 21 days before use. Performance data no older than 3 months. Usable for 12 months from the cover date. Pools with under 3 years of history must show the CPO's other pools too.
CTA disclosure documentRequired of any CTA with discretion or a systematic program. Cover page shows up-front fees and net funds available for trading. If the CTA is not an FCM, the cover must warn that it is prohibited by law from accepting customer funds. Five years of performance and of material legal actions.
Options disclosure documentSeparate document, separate signed acknowledgment. Explains the components of the premium — time value and intrinsic value — but never an actual premium, because the premium is negotiated in the market.

Reporting to pool participants

Net assets over $500,000Statements monthly
Net assets $500,000 or lessStatements quarterly
  • Annual report to each participant, 3 copies to the CFTC within 90 days of fiscal year end, certified by an independent CPA.
  • Records on request: mailed within 5 business days.

Records and confirmations

  • All member records: 5 years (first 2 readily accessible).
  • Promotional material plus its approval record: 5 years from last use. Written material needs prior approval by a partner or officer.
  • Trade confirmation to the customer within 1 business day; monthly statements, or quarterly if the account is dormant with no open positions.
  • Orders time-stamped on receipt with account and order number; option orders also stamped on transmittal.
  • For a pool, the FCM confirms to the CPO only, not to each participant.

Promotional material — the five prohibitions

  • Fraudulent, misleading, or deceptive statements, or omitting material facts.
  • Emphasizing profits without equal emphasis on risk.
  • Hypothetical results without the standardized cautionary statement.
  • Past profits without saying they may not indicate future results.
  • Performance statistics that cannot be substantiated.

Nobody may imply that the CFTC or NFA has sponsored, approved, or recommended them. Opinions must be labeled as opinions and have a reasonable basis. No claim that futures are suitable for everyone.

Trading standards and named abuses

  • Customer orders executable at or near the market go before proprietary or AP orders — no front-running.
  • No disclosing a customer order except as needed to execute it.
  • May not knowingly take the other side of a customer order without prior specific consent.
  • An AP needs employer consent to hold an account at another FCM.
  • Bucketing — telling the customer a trade is done, then executing it later and pocketing the difference.
  • Churning — trading volume driven by commissions rather than the customer's objective.

Discipline — the penalty numbers

BodyMaximum
NFAExpulsion or suspension (requires a 2/3 vote of members present), bar from association, censure, fine up to $500,000 per violation, cease-and-desist
CFTC civilGreater of about $201,021 (inflation-indexed) or three times the monetary gain, per violation; suspension or revocation; cease-and-desist
CFTC criminal$1,000,000 and up to 10 years in prison

An Appeals Committee may increase, decrease, or set aside a Regional Committee penalty. A respondent may settle without admitting or denying. A regulatory complaint against a member becomes public record; ordinary customer complaints do not.

Reparations vs arbitration

CFTC reparationsThreshold
Formal decisionalover $30,000 — either side may demand an oral hearing
Summary decisional$30,000 or less — decided on documents if no one asks for a hearing
Voluntary decisionalBoth sides must agree; expedited; no appeal
NFA arbitrationPanel
Under $50,0001 arbitrator
$50,000 – $150,0001 arbitrator; 3 only if both parties request in writing
Over $150,0003 arbitrators
Member vs member3 arbitrators once the claim is $250,000 or more

Filed within 2 years of the event; decision within 30 days of the hearing; not appealable, enforceable in court. Reparations go to a CFTC administrative law judge and may be appealed to the Commission.

Reporting levels vs position limits

Reporting level
lower of the two
Applies to speculators and hedgers alike. Once reached, file daily with the CFTC — every trade, every delivery made or taken, all open contracts. Your FCM reports too. File again on the first day you drop below the level. Example given: 200 crude oil contracts, long or short.
Speculative position limit
the ceiling
Speculators only. Caps gross long or gross short, intraday and overnight. A bona fide hedger may apply to the CFTC or the exchange for an exemption. Positions are aggregated across exchanges — 2m bushels at CBOT plus 1m at Kansas City is a 3m position.

Bona fide hedging includes economically related commodities: sugar futures against corn-syrup exposure, corn futures bought by a cattle feeder.

AML, ethics, continuity

  • NFA Rule 2-9 / USA PATRIOT Act. Four pillars: written policies, independent testing, a designated compliance officer, and ongoing training.
  • CIP — verify identity, then check the customer against the Treasury OFAC SDN list. A match means block all transactions and notify law enforcement immediately.
  • Report cash of more than $10,000 in a single day; report $5,000 or more if the activity is suspicious.
  • Ethics training also lives under Rule 2-9 — flexible in frequency and method, but documented.
  • NFA Rule 2-38 — a written business continuity plan naming at least two contact persons.
CH 3

Price forecasting

price analysis

Crop year and the feed ratio

  • The crop year runs harvest to harvest. Corn: Sep 1 – Aug 31. Wheat: Jun 1 – May 31.
  • Price is normally lowest at harvest — everyone sells at once to repay loans and buy next year's inputs — so July wheat usually trades under the preceding May, which still reflects the old, depleted crop year.
  • That flips if the old crop was huge and the new harvest looks poor.
  • Hog-corn ratio = bushels of corn equal to 100 lb of live hogs. High ratio = hogs dear, corn cheap → feed the corn to hogs. Low ratio → sell the corn instead.

Volume and open interest

  • Volume counts one side. Ten contracts bought means ten sold; volume is 10, not 20.
  • Open interest rises when a new long meets a new short.
  • Open interest is unchanged when an existing holder is simply replaced by a new one.
  • Open interest falls when an existing long sells to an existing short — both leave.
  • Open interest peaks at harvest, when elevators and farmers put hedges on, and drains as hedges are lifted.

Open interest against price — the four-cell grid

Price risingPrice falling
OI risingTechnically strong. New longs and new shorts, buyers more aggressive. Can become overbought.Technically weak. New money entering, sellers more aggressive.
OI fallingTechnically weak. Shorts are covering. Once they have covered, that future buying is gone.Technically strong — a liquidating market. Longs are giving up; the selling is exhausting itself.
The one-line version Price and open interest moving in the same direction = technically strong. Moving in opposite directions = technically weak. The two counter-intuitive cells fall right out of that rule.

Normal (carry) market

Cash 3.00 → Mar 3.05 → May 3.12 → Jul 3.16 → Sep 3.20
  • Deferred months progressively higher. Also called a carrying-charge or premium market. Cash is under futures.
  • Caused by oversupply — harvest selling pushes cash and the near month down while deferreds hold up.
  • The cap: a distant month can trade over a near month by no more than full carrying charges. Beyond that, traders buy the near, take delivery, store it, and deliver against the distant month for a locked profit — and that arbitrage pulls the spread back.
  • The cap does not hold for perishables, where you cannot carry the commodity forward.

Inverted market (backwardation)

Cash 3.20 → Mar 3.10 → May 3.00 → Jul 2.90 → Sep 2.80
  • Near months higher, deferreds progressively lower. Also called a discount market. Cash is over futures.
  • Caused by shortage — users bid aggressively for whatever cash exists and buy the near month to secure supply. Deferreds assume the shortage resolves.
  • No cap. There is no arbitrage that limits how far the near month can trade over the distant one, because carrying cash forward into a lower-priced sale only loses money.

Bullish patterns

  • Break above resistance (the ceiling where rallies stopped).
  • Inverted head and shoulders — downtrend reversal.
  • Double bottom, ascending triangle.
  • Play it with buy stops above resistance or long calls.

Bearish patterns

  • Break below support (the floor where declines stopped).
  • Head and shoulders top — uptrend reversal.
  • Double top, descending triangle.
  • Play it with sell stops below support or long puts.

Convergence

  • Cash and futures must converge by the first delivery day.
  • If they have not, arbitrage exists — and the arbitrage itself forces convergence.
  • Congestion is price trapped between support and resistance with no breakout.
CH 4

Pricing

limits & contract specs · 15 q block

Daily price limits

  • Set by the exchange board of directors, approved by the CFTC. Hitting one is a lock limit — limit up or limit down.
  • On most exchanges the spot / current month has no daily limit.
  • CBOT expansion: when three or more delivery months close at the limit, the limit goes to 150% for all months for three successive business days, and minimum margin rates rise 150% too.
  • Note the split: the CME does not automatically raise margin when limits expand.
  • GTC and GTD orders may still be entered outside the limits.
  • Equity index products use circuit breakers instead: 7% and 13% halt trading 15 minutes; 20% closes the day.
  • A limit move can trigger a margin call and drains liquidity — you may be unable to get out. That is item (2) in the risk disclosure statement.

Contract specifications

ContractSizeTick
Wheat, corn, soybeans5,000 bu1/4 cent = $12.50
Soybean oil60,000 lb1/100 cent per lb = $6.00
Soybean meal100 tons$0.10 per ton = $10.00
Live cattle40,000 lbQuoted per hundredweight
T-bond / T-note$100,0001/32 = $31.25; options 1/64 = $15.625
T-bill / Eurodollar$1,000,0001 basis point = $25
Swiss francSF 125,000$12.50, no daily limit

Deliverable T-bonds must mature in at least 15 years and not be callable for 15 years. The bonds are government-backed; the futures contract is not.

Short-term rate futures

  • Five contracts: T-bills, domestic CDs, Eurodollar time deposits, AMERIBOR, SOFR.
  • Priced on an index: 100.00 − the rate. A rate of 8.25% quotes as 91.75.
  • So rates down → price up. Rates up → price down.
  • 1 basis point = $25 because $1,000,000 × 0.01% × ¼ year = $25. Months are Mar/Jun/Sep/Dec, and there is no daily limit.
  • SOFR is built on actual Treasury repo transactions and replaced LIBOR after 2023 — a better benchmark precisely because LIBOR was estimated rather than transacted.
  • AMERIBOR = overnight unsecured funding across all 50 states and Puerto Rico, on the CBOE, in 7-day and 3-month contracts.
AMERIBOR at 3.25% → 10,000 − (3.25 × 100) = 9,675

Foreign currency

  • Rates are set in the Interbank Marketunregulated and decentralized, banks dealing with banks.
  • Spot settles in two business days; anything longer is a forward.
  • A currency future is quoted as US dollars per one unit of the currency. Contract value = quote × units. SF at .7500 × 125,000 = $93,750.
  • What moves a currency: demand for the country's goods, balance of payments, affluence, foreign investment, monetary and fiscal policy, direct intervention — plus politics, war, and embargoes.
CH 5

Orders

learn the geometry, not the words
Sell limit
sell at that price or higher
Sell MIT
becomes a market order when touched
Buy stop
triggers when bid at or above
current market price
Buy limit
buy at that price or lower
Buy MIT
becomes a market order when touched
Sell stop
triggers when offered at or below
The whole chapter in one sentence Above the market: sell limit, sell MIT, buy stop. Below the market: buy limit, buy MIT, sell stop. Memorize that single line and every placement question is free. The difference between a limit and an MIT at the same price: the limit guarantees the price or better; the MIT converts to a market order and takes whatever is there.
OrderWhat it becomes / does
MarketBest available price on arrival
Market with protectionMarket order with a band around the best bid or offer, so a fast market cannot fill you at an absurd price
StopTriggers when the contract trades at or through the stop, then becomes a market order — the fill can be worse than the stop
Stop with protectionSame trigger, but only fills within a protected range
Stop limitBecomes a limit order on trigger — protects price, risks no fill at all
MIT (board order)Becomes a market order once touched
OrderWhat it becomes / does
DiscretionaryLimit plus a stated number of points of leeway — above the limit on a buy, below on a sell
Not heldFull discretion on time and price, and the broker is not liable for acting or failing to act
FOK / FAKFill-or-kill: entire order immediately or cancel, no partials. Fill-and-kill allows a partial fill
OCOTwo alternative orders; executing one cancels the other
SwitchRoll a position to a later month (or another exchange). Costs a full round-turn commission — it is a new trade
Give upOne broker or FCM executes for another and gives up the commission. Common for CTA and CPO block trades
EFP (against actuals)An ex-pit trade: two hedgers privately swap cash and futures positions — the one long cash and short futures delivers the goods and receives the other's long futures
CH 6

Margin and leverage

unlearn equities

The five things people get wrong

  • Margin is a performance bond, not a down payment. Nothing is loaned, so no interest is charged — you do not own the commodity until delivery.
  • Fall below maintenance and you restore all the way to original margin, not to maintenance.
  • Set by the exchange, but an FCM may demand more — never less.
  • Same requirement long or short. Recalculated daily against the settlement price.
  • A margin increase applies to existing positions too. But if your equity already covers the new maintenance level, no call is generated — the call only comes when equity slips below maintenance, and then it is topped to the new original.
Equity = Original margin ± Open trade equity (OTE)

Who pays less

  • Hedgers pay less than speculators, for three reasons: an offsetting cash position, better ability to actually make or take delivery, and easier-to-verify financial condition.
  • Hedge margin covers only the hedged quantity. Long 3,000,000 bushels of cash but short 3,250,000 in futures → hedge margin on 3,000,000, speculative margin on the 250,000 excess.
  • Spreads get lower margin because the two legs move together — a 10-cent loss on the long leg offset by an 8-cent gain on the short leg is a 2-cent problem, not a 10-cent one.
  • Excess equity above original margin may be withdrawn, or used to margin new positions — pyramiding.

Commissions

  • Round turn covers the buy and the sell together; a half turn is one side.
  • Commissions are negotiable between firm and customer.
  • A spread costs roughly 70% of two separate trades — but only if both legs are put on in the same session.
  • Transfer your open position to a new FCM and you pay the new firm a full round turn anyway.

Leverage math

Return % = net profit per contract ÷ margin per contract

Worked: buy wheat at 2.50 with 12 cents margin, sell at 2.57, $30 commission.

  • Margin = 5,000 × $0.12 = $600
  • Gross = 5,000 × $0.07 = $350; net = $320
  • Return = 320 ÷ 600 = 53.3%

A 2.8% price move produced a 53% return. That gearing is the whole reason margin questions carry so much weight.

CH 7

Speculation

16 q across two blocks

The speculation model

(exit − entry) × contract size × contracts, then commissions
  • Commissions subtract from gains and add to losses. They never help.
  • If the question gives total commissions for several contracts, divide down to a per-contract round turn first.
  • For a rate of return, use profit per contract ÷ margin per contract — do not multiply by contract size or contract count. Those cancel.
  • Exchange position traders pay no commission (sometimes a small fee), so a question naming a position trader in the pit is telling you to ignore commissions.

The exam's rate-language decoder

"Inflation is expected to rise"
"The Fed is tightening credit"
Rates up → bond prices downSELL futures
"The economy is slipping into recession"
"The Fed is easing credit"
Rates down → bond prices upBUY futures

These exact phrasings are how interest-rate questions are dressed up. Translate to rates first, then to price, then to a side.

Subtracting 32nds — the borrowing trick

Short 7 T-bonds at 105-14, cover at 102-21, total commissions $385.

  • You cannot take 21/32 from 14/32, so borrow a whole point: 105-14 becomes 104 and 46/32 (32 + 14 = 46).
  • 104-46 − 102-21 = 2 points and 25/32.
  • 2 × $1,000 = $2,000, plus 25 × $31.25 = $781.25 → $2,781.25.
  • Commission per contract = $385 ÷ 7 = $55 → net $2,726.25 × 7 = $19,083.75.
Two conversions worth having automatic One point = $1,000. One 32nd = $31.25. Convert to dollars early and the arithmetic stops being fractions.

Short-term futures and percentage moves

Buy 20 Eurodollars at 93.60, sell at 94.70, $5,000 margin, $40 round turn.

  • Move = 1.10 = 110 basis points × $25 = $2,750 per contract.
  • Net $2,710 × 20 = $54,200; return = 2,710 ÷ 5,000 = 54.2%.

Percentage-move questions: long 40 soybean contracts at $6.20, price rises 6%, margin $2,500.

  • $6.20 × 6% = $0.372 per bushel → × 5,000 = $1,860 per contract.
  • Return = 1,860 ÷ 2,500 = 74%. Most of the other numbers in that question were decoration.
CH 8

Spreads

only 3 q — do not overinvest
TypeSameDifferentExample
Intramarket
(interdelivery)
commodity + exchangemonthBuy July sugar, sell October sugar — the most commonly traded spread
Intermarketcommodity + monthexchangeBuy April COMEX gold, sell April CME gold
Intercommodityuse casethe commodityBuy September oats, sell September corn — both are feed
Productthe inputraw vs processedThe crush and the crack

Crush and crack

Buy 10 beans · sell 9 oil · sell 12 meal
  • That 10 : 9 : 12 ratio is the actual processing yield. The crusher locks his margin when it is favorable.
  • Reverse crush — sell beans, buy oil and meal. Used when the margin is negative and the plant shuts down.
  • The crack — buy crude, sell heating oil and gasoline. Reverse crack flips it.
  • Beans (or crude) are always alone on one side; the products are always together on the other.

Reading a spread

Long the expensive legWant it to WIDEN
Short the expensive legWant it to NARROW
ProductSentiment shows in the…
Most commoditiesnear month — long near = bullish
Stock indexes and currenciesdeferred month — long deferred = bullish

Mechanics worth knowing: spread orders go on one ticket, and the CBOT does not accept stop orders on spreads — market or limit only.

NOB and the yield curve

30-year bond futures against 10-year note futures. The bond has longer duration, so it moves more per unit of rate change.

Steepening
long end rises faster / bond price falls faster
Buy the 10-year note, sell the 30-year bond
Flattening
note yield rises, bond yield falls
Sell the 10-year note, buy the 30-year bond
Work it in two steps, never one Translate the rate story into which price rises, then buy that leg and sell the other. Trying to memorize four NOB outcomes directly is how people get these backwards.
CH 9

Hedging and basis

19 q · the biggest cluster in part i

Which hedge, and why

You areCashHedgeFear
Producer
farmer, elevator, miner
LONGSELL futures
(short / selling hedge)
Prices falling before he sells
User
baker, exporter, importer
SHORTBUY futures
(long / buying hedge)
Prices rising before he buys

A hedge is a temporary substitute for a cash transaction you will make later. It does not remove risk — it swaps price risk for basis risk and hands the price risk to a speculator.

Secondary benefits the manual lists: hedgers get better credit terms from lenders, and can run on thinner margins, which lowers consumer prices.

Basis, precisely

Basis = CashFutures
  • Cash below futures = "10 under" = negative basis. Cash above = "5 over" = positive. It is always cash relative to futures, never the reverse.
  • Strengthening = becoming more positive (−10 → −9, or +9 → +10).
  • Weakening = becoming more negative (−9 → −10, or +10 → +9).
  • Your basis is measured against the month you actually hedged in, not necessarily the nearest month. Two elevators buying the same cash wheat can have different bases.
Strengthening is not the same as narrowing In a normal market (cash under futures) a strengthening basis is narrowing. In an inverted market (cash over futures) a strengthening basis is widening. Get the market type first, then translate.

The two formulas — and the shortcut that replaces both

Producer ESP = cash now + hedge gain hedge loss
User cost = cash now hedge gain + hedge loss
Either one = entry futures price + exit basis

If the question hands you the futures price when the hedge went on and the basis when it came off, you are done. Cross-check with the long form if you have time.

Short hedge, prices collapse:

CashFuturesBasis
Jul4.00sell 4.30−0.30
Novsell 3.70buy 3.90−0.20
Net−0.30+0.40strengthened .10
3.70 + 0.40 = 4.10 = 4.30 + (−0.20)

Long hedge, prices rally:

CashFuturesBasis
May6.00buy 6.40−0.40
Augbuy 6.90sell 7.20−0.30
Net+0.90 cost+0.80strengthened .10
6.90 − 0.80 = 6.10 = 6.40 + (−0.30)

The same 10-cent strengthening gave the producer 10 cents and cost the user 10 cents. Whichever leg you are long, you want that leg to gain on the other — the producer is long cash, so he wants cash to gain on futures.

Why hedges are imperfect

  • Round lots. 118,000 bushels can only be hedged as 115,000 or 120,000 — you are naked either way on the remainder.
  • Grade. Futures track the basis grade; your cash commodity may not be that grade, and grades do not move in lockstep.
  • Crop year. July wheat and the following May wheat respond to different supply stories, so they will not move by identical amounts.
  • All three collapse into one statement: the basis moves, and your profit or loss on a hedge is exactly the change in the basis.

Choosing the month

  • Default rule: hedge in the first expiration month after the cash position will be lifted.
  • Beyond that, pick the month where the basis change is likeliest to favor you. Long the basis and expecting near futures to rally harder than deferreds? Hedge in the deferred month.
  • You are never stuck: hedges can be switched forward, so a hedger gets multi-year protection out of contracts that only list 12 to 18 months out.
  • Bona fide hedging covers economically related commodities — sugar futures against corn syrup, corn futures bought by a cattle feeder.

Currency hedging — get the side right

Exporter
will receive foreign currency
Owns / is owed the currency → fears devaluationSELL currency futures
Importer
will pay in foreign currency
Is short the currency → fears revaluationBUY currency futures

Worked: an American importer owes SF 500,000, franc at .6167, September futures .6572. Contract size 125,000 → buy 4 contracts. Franc rises to .6377 cash, .6752 futures. Unhedged cost would have risen $10,500; the $9,000 futures gain cut the damage to $1,500 — the basis moved 30 points against him, and that gap is the entire cost of the hedge.

Interest-rate hedging

  • Anchor: rates and bond prices move inversely, and the further from maturity, the larger the price swing for the same rate move.
  • Holding bonds, or committed to issuing debt later? You lose if rates rise → sell T-bond futures.
  • Planning to buy bonds with money arriving later? You lose if rates fall → buy T-bond futures.
  • Cross-check on the arithmetic: an 8% bond in a 9% world must fall to about $990 with one year left, but to roughly $935 with ten years left.
CH 10

Stock index futures

systematic risk only

Two risks, one tool

Non-systematic
company or sector specific
Handled by diversification
Systematic
the whole market moves
Cannot be diversified away — this is what index futures hedge
  • Index contracts have a multiplier, not a delivery size, and settle in cash.
  • Full-size S&P 500 multiplier $250; E-mini $50; five minis offset one full contract.

Sizing the hedge

Contracts = portfolio value ÷ (futures price × multiplier)
  • $500,000,000 portfolio, June S&P at 3022.30, multiplier $250.
  • 3022.30 × 250 = $755,575 per contract.
  • 500,000,000 ÷ 755,575 = 661.7 → sell 661.
  • Always round DOWN to a whole contract.

Short hedge protects a portfolio you already hold (or buy in-the-money puts). Long hedge locks in today's market for cash arriving later (or buy in-the-money calls).

CH 11

Commodity options

5 q, but they leak into the margin block

Rights, obligations, moneyness

Buyer has the right toSeller is obligated to
Callbuy futures at the strikesell futures at the strike
Putsell futures at the strikebuy futures at the strike

Options are written on the futures contract, not on the cash commodity. Calls are in the money above the strike; puts are in the money below it.

Bond option premiums quote in 64ths: a premium of 1-32 means 1 and 32/64 points = $1,500.

Premium

Premium = Intrinsic + Time
  • Intrinsic = the in-the-money amount, and never below zero.
  • Out of the money or at the money → the premium is all time value.
  • Time value grows with time remaining and volatility, and decays as expiration approaches.
  • At-the-money options carry the most time value of the three moneyness states.
  • American style exercises any time; European style only on the business day before expiration.

Put-call parity generates every synthetic

Long futures = long call + short put  →  F = C − P

Read + as long and as short, then move terms across the equals sign. Six answers from one line.

BuildRearrangedLegs
Synthetic long callC = F + Plong futures + long put
Synthetic long putP = C − Flong call + short futures
Synthetic long futuresF = C − Plong call + short put
Synthetic short futures−F = P − Clong put + short call
Synthetic short call−C = −P − Fshort put + short futures
Synthetic short put−P = −C + Fshort call + long futures
ConversionF + P − C = 0long futures + long put + short call
Reversal−F − P + C = 0short futures + long call + short put
Two things the manual adds Synthetic short calls and synthetic short puts are covered positions — the futures leg covers the written option. And conversion starts long the futures, reversal starts short; both net to zero, which is why they are arbitrage packages.

Delta

How much the premium moves per $1 move in the underlying futures.

MoneynessBullish
(long call, short put)
Bearish
(long put, short call)
In the money≈ +1.00≈ −1.00
At the money≈ +0.50≈ −0.50
Out of the money≈ 0≈ 0
Options needed = futures needed ÷ delta

High-delta options need fewer contracts but cost more; low-delta options need more contracts but may hedge more cheaply.

Calendar vs vertical

Calendar
(time / horizontal)
Same strike, different expirations
Vertical
(money / price)
Same expiration, different strikes
Margin on spreads — two triggers Margin is required if (1) the long call's strike is higher than the short call's, or the long put's strike is lower than the short put's — the short side can lose before the long side pays; or (2) the long option expires first, leaving you naked short.

The four vertical spreads

SpreadConstructionNetBreakevenMax profitMax risk
Bull callBuy low strike call, sell high strike callDebitlow strike + net debitstrike difference − debitnet debit
Bull putBuy low strike put, sell high strike putCredithigh strike − net creditnet creditstrike difference − credit
Bear callSell low strike call, buy high strike callCreditlow strike + net creditnet creditstrike difference − credit
Bear putSell low strike put, buy high strike putDebithigh strike − net debitstrike difference − debitnet debit
You only have to memorize two patterns Debit spreads: max risk is the debit, max profit is the strike gap minus the debit. Credit spreads: max profit is the credit, max risk is the strike gap minus the credit. For breakeven, start at the strike you bought or sold nearest the money and move by the net premium — up on calls, down on puts. And bull spreads always buy the lower strike, regardless of calls or puts.

Butterflies and condors

StrategyStrikesWants
Butterfly
buy low, sell two middle, buy high
3Price sitting exactly at the middle strike — neutral
Long condor (debit)4Price between the two middle strikes — low volatility
Short condor (credit)4High volatility
Iron condor
sell a call spread and a put spread
4Credit, neutral — max profit if everything expires worthless; max loss limited, realized on a big move either way
Long condor: max loss = debit · max gain = strike interval − debit
Breakevens = lowest strike + debit  and  highest strike − debit

A condor earns less than a butterfly but over a wider price range, and loses less on a big move.

Straddles, strangles, and option margin

  • Long straddle — buy the call and the put at the same strike; wants movement. Short straddle wants stillness.
  • Strangle — same idea with different strikes. Short strangle breakevens: call strike + premiums, put strike − premiums. Profit capped at the premium, risk unlimited.
Long option margin = 100% of the premium
Short = premium + futures margin 50% of any out-of-the-money amount

Worked: corn at $6.70, futures margin $0.50/bu, sell the $6.60 put at $0.25, 5,000 bu.

  • Futures margin $2,500 + premium $1,250 = $3,750
  • OTM by $0.10 → deduct 50% × $0.10 × 5,000 = $250
  • Total = $3,500
End of manual summary · switch to the cram sheet tab for the final-48-hours version